{ "updated": "2026-08-17", "checkedCadence": "Weekly source check; urgent changes can be added through the Signal Intel Desk daily task.", "method": "Sourced, dated estimates only. No fake live counters. Red counters show figures or estimate markers only; titles and explanations render underneath. Where a reliable single estimate is not available, the counter uses an estimate-status value such as EST. SOURCE-SPLIT, MIN. REPORTED, EST. UNDERCOUNT, or STATUS-SPLIT. Crime, sexual assault, trafficking, migrant-status, nationality, ethnicity, suspect, charge, conviction, victim, and report categories must not be merged. This file was checked on 2026-08-17 against official or high-reliability lanes; unchanged live figures mean no stronger sourced replacement was found during the check.", "panels": [ { "key": "conflict-gaza", "title": "Gaza / Israel War", "figure": "73K+", "status": "Gaza Health Ministry reported death-toll lane; combatant/civilian split contested", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. No stronger official replacement cumulative total was found during this weekly check, so the Gaza Health Ministry reported death-toll lane remains above 73,000 since 2023-10-07. OCHA's latest indexed Gaza humanitarian situation report remains the 2026-07-23 report, which separately recorded 1,180 reported fatalities and 3,810 injuries since the ceasefire announcement of 2025-10-10. These are reported ministry counts, not independently verified combatant/civilian classifications. Keep Gaza deaths, Israeli deaths, hostages, injuries, child deaths, famine indicators, disputed official claims, and ceasefire-period casualties separate.", "sourceLabel": "Gaza Health Ministry / OCHA OPT situation report 2026-07-23 / OHCHR / UN Commission / Reuters / AP" }, { "key": "conflict-ukraine", "title": "Ukraine War", "figure": "16,431", "status": "OHCHR verified civilian baseline; real toll likely higher", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. OHCHR's latest indexed cumulative verified baseline, published 2026-07-14, is at least 16,431 civilians killed, including 803 children, and 48,613 injured, including 2,960 children, since 2022-02-24. The same June 2026 update verified at least 293 civilians killed and 1,990 injured in June, the highest combined monthly civilian-casualty level since April 2022. In the first six months of 2026, OHCHR verified 1,396 killed and 7,978 injured, 37% above the same period in 2025. Keep verified civilian deaths, injuries, military casualties, missing persons, displacement, occupied-territory reporting limits, Russian-reported but UN-unverified figures, and infrastructure attacks separate.", "sourceLabel": "OHCHR Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine update 2026-07-14 / UNHCR / OCHA" }, { "key": "conflict-sudan", "title": "Sudan / Darfur", "figure": "59K+ MIN", "status": "Minimum reported death lane; wider death estimates, displacement, famine, and health collapse separate", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. No stronger nationwide confirmed death total replaced the minimum reported lane. UNHCR's Sudan Situation dashboard, updated 2026-07-20, listed 11,336,565 people forcibly displaced in the regional Sudan situation; it separately listed 6,490,949 IDPs within Sudan and 4,572,535 newly arrived refugees, asylum seekers and returnees outside Sudan. WHO reported on 2026-04-14 that 34 million people needed aid and 21 million lacked health services. Keep verified killings, mass-casualty reports, higher disputed estimates, displacement categories, famine, hospital attacks, siege conditions, cholera, deportations, returns and humanitarian access collapse separate.", "sourceLabel": "UNHCR Sudan Situation dashboard updated 2026-07-20 / WHO 2026-04-14 / OHCHR / OCHA / IPC / IOM / WFP / UNICEF / AP / Reuters" }, { "key": "conflict-myanmar", "title": "Myanmar Conflict", "figure": "EST. 50K+", "status": "High-uncertainty conflict estimate; source-check retained", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. OHCHR's 2026 reporting continues to document a severe human-rights and civilian-protection crisis, but no cleaner official nationwide death total replaced this high-uncertainty estimate lane during the weekly check. Current monitoring still requires separate lanes for civilian deaths, airstrikes, displacement, political detention, ethnic conflict, aid restriction, hospital/school attacks, and humanitarian access.", "sourceLabel": "UN OHCHR Myanmar report 2026-06-22 / OCHA / UNHCR / major wire or rights reporting where primary data is unavailable" }, { "key": "conflict-yemen", "title": "Yemen War / Humanitarian Collapse", "figure": "EST. 377K+", "status": "Conflict and indirect mortality estimate; not a live counter", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. The 377,000+ UNDP conflict-and-indirect-mortality estimate remains the latest stable long-war baseline in this lane. Track direct conflict deaths, indirect excess mortality, hunger, cholera/disease, displacement, port access, blockade claims, migrant-route deaths, and humanitarian operations separately.", "sourceLabel": "UNDP / OCHA Yemen / WHO / WFP / IPC / IOM" }, { "key": "conflict-congo", "title": "DR Congo / Great Lakes", "figure": "EST. 6M+", "status": "Long-war mortality estimate lane; current crisis indicators separate", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. The long-war 6M+ mortality lane remains an historical estimate and must not be treated as a daily counter. Track current armed-group violence, civilian killings, sexual violence reports, displacement, disease outbreaks, mineral/cross-border pressure, and MONUSCO/OCHA updates separately.", "sourceLabel": "OCHA DRC / UNHCR / MONUSCO / WHO / historical mortality studies" }, { "key": "conflict-syria", "title": "Syria War Aftermath", "figure": "EST. 580K+", "status": "Long-war mortality estimate lane; period and source split required", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. No single official total replaced the long-war estimate lane during this check. Track deaths, detention, disappeared persons, displacement, returns, refugee pressure, sanctions, infrastructure collapse, and humanitarian access as separate evidence categories.", "sourceLabel": "OCHA Syria / UNHCR / OHCHR / Syrian casualty monitors" }, { "key": "displacement-global", "title": "Global Displacement", "figure": "117.8M", "status": "UNHCR Global Trends 2025 end-year official estimate", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. UNHCR Global Trends 2025, released 2026-06-11, remains the latest official global baseline: 117.8 million people forcibly displaced worldwide at the end of December 2025. UNHCR separately reported 41.6 million refugees, 9 million asylum seekers and about 68.7 million people displaced within their own country by conflict or violence. Keep refugees, IDPs, asylum seekers, stateless people, returns, temporary protection, and newly displaced people separate.", "sourceLabel": "UNHCR Global Trends 2025 released 2026-06-11 / UNHCR figures at a glance" }, { "key": "food-insecurity", "title": "Famine / Acute Food Insecurity", "figure": "266M", "status": "WFP 2026 acute-food-insecurity baseline", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. WFP's 2026 Global Outlook: Mid-year Update, published 2026-07-07, retains the global operating baseline of 266 million people across food-crisis countries facing acute hunger. This should not be merged with chronic-hunger estimates or with country-specific IPC phase classifications. Gaza, Sudan and other famine-risk settings require separate country evidence lanes. IPC phases, famine declarations, famine risk, siege conditions, nutrition collapse, funding cuts, and humanitarian access restrictions must remain separate.", "sourceLabel": "WFP 2026 Global Outlook: Mid-year Update 2026-07-07 / IPC / FAO / WFP country operations" }, { "key": "migration-global", "title": "Migration / Irregular Immigration", "figure": "EST. SOURCE-SPLIT", "status": "Country and route data only; no honest global illegal-immigration counter", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. No reliable single global irregular-migration counter exists. UK Home Office official statistics updated 2026-07-16 recorded 43,806 detected arrivals via illegal routes in the year ending March 2026, including 39,271 small-boat arrivals; the Home Office cautions that detections do not capture all arrivals and can include repeat detections. The same release recorded 39,007 returns from the UK in the year ending March 2026, including enforced and voluntary returns, plus 17,623 people refused entry on arrival who subsequently departed. Eurostat reported 42,960 first-time EU asylum applicants in April 2026 and 9,145 subsequent applicants; in Q1 2026, 108,475 non-EU citizens were ordered to leave an EU country and 34,550 were returned to third countries following an order to leave. IOM DTM recorded 51,259 arrivals to Europe through 2026-07-27; this route-monitoring total is not a count of all unauthorized migration. The next UK year-ending-June release is scheduled for 2026-08-27, so no later quarterly UK baseline was substituted during this check. Keep detections, persons, repeat crossings, asylum applications, subsequent applications, temporary protection, regularisation applications, returns, removals, refusals and departures, estimated unauthorized populations, and missing migrants separate.", "sourceLabel": "UK Home Office Immigration system statistics updated 2026-07-16 / Eurostat asylum update 2026-07-16 / Eurostat returns 2026-06-30 / IOM DTM Europe arrivals through 2026-07-27 / Frontex / CBP / official national agencies" }, { "key": "migration-deaths", "title": "Migration Deaths / Missing Migrants", "figure": "~8K", "status": "IOM 2025 global deaths/missing lane; undercount warning", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. IOM's 2025 global total remains nearly 8,000 migrants dead or missing, with an explicit undercount warning because monitoring coverage fell. Separately, IOM DTM's Europe arrivals dashboard recorded 1,811 dead or missing migrants on routes to Europe in 2026 through 2026-07-27. The Europe figure is a provisional regional route-monitoring total and must not be added to or substituted for the global 2025 baseline. Keep global totals, route totals, confirmed deaths, missing persons, and unverified or undocumented cases separate.", "sourceLabel": "IOM Missing Migrants / IOM DTM Europe arrivals through 2026-07-27 / Reuters" }, { "key": "sexual-assault-uk-csae", "title": "UK Child Sexual Abuse & Exploitation", "figure": "122,768", "status": "2024 police-recorded CSAE lane retained", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. No newer official national total replaced the 122,768 police-recorded child sexual abuse and exploitation offences in England and Wales in 2024. The National Crime Agency's 2026 National Strategic Assessment reports that online-facilitated child sexual abuse accounts for at least 42% of recorded offences and that the Child Sexual Abuse and Exploitation Referrals Bureau received more than 92,000 referrals from online platforms in 2025, a 31% increase across the preceding two years. Referrals, police-recorded offences, suspected online material, contact offences, group-based offences, grooming-gang subsets, suspects, charges, convictions, victim age, and data completeness must remain separate.", "sourceLabel": "National Crime Agency National Strategic Assessment 2026 / NPCC / official police-recorded CSAE data" }, { "key": "sexual-assault-group-cse", "title": "Group-Based CSE / Grooming-Gang Data", "figure": "4,450 / 761", "status": "2024 group-based CSE lane retained with data-gap warning", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. The 2024 lane remains: 4,450 group-based child sexual exploitation offences across 44 police forces, with 761 linked to grooming gangs. Ethnicity data was recorded in only about one-third of cases, so the site must show both the numbers and the data gap. Keep suspects, convictions, victims, force coverage, and unknown-status categories separate.", "sourceLabel": "NPCC-reported data / Casey audit lane / AP / UK media" }, { "key": "sexual-assault-migration-status", "title": "Sexual Assault / Migrant-Status Evidence Boundary", "figure": "STATUS-SPLIT", "status": "Country-by-country crime-data lane; no merged group-guilt counter", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. Use this only where official statistics identify suspect nationality, immigration status, asylum status, foreign-born status, or ethnicity. Separate police reports, suspects, charges, convictions, victims, unknown status, and per-capita rates. Do not treat nationality as immigration status, and do not treat individual cases as group guilt.", "sourceLabel": "National crime offices / courts / police datasets / Eurostat where applicable" }, { "key": "trafficking-sexual-exploitation", "title": "Trafficking / Sexual Exploitation", "figure": "69,627 / 38%", "status": "UNODC 2024 detected-victims lane; child-share included", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. UNODC's 2024 Global Report remains the latest comparable global detected-victim lane: 69,627 detected trafficking victims in 2022 and children at 38% of detected victims. Separately, Europol reported on 2026-07-06 that Operation GLOBAL CHAIN, conducted across 59 countries from 8 to 12 June 2026, identified 2,070 victims and potential victims, including 162 minors, and produced 1,024 arrests, 334 for suspected human trafficking; 465 new investigations were opened. Europol reported 64.2% of identified victims/potential victims were trafficked for sexual exploitation, rising to 86.4% among the identified minors. This is an operational snapshot, not a prevalence estimate. Keep detected victims, potential victims, estimated victims, exploitation type, arrests, convictions, forced labour, sexual exploitation, child share, and profit estimates separate.", "sourceLabel": "UNODC Global Report 2024 / Europol-Frontex-INTERPOL Operation GLOBAL CHAIN published 2026-07-06 / ILO" }, { "key": "vaccine-compensation", "title": "Vaccines: Damages & Compensation", "figure": "$5.3B+ VICP / 14,146 COVID CICP", "status": "VICP compensation baseline plus CICP alleged, pending, eligible, compensated and denied lanes separated", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. HRSA's latest CICP aggregate remains dated 2026-07-01: 14,146 COVID-19 claims filed, 6,562 pending or in review, 7,584 decisions, 112 found eligible, 62 compensated, 46 pending benefits determination, 4 with no eligible reported expenses, and 7,472 denied. Across all covered countermeasures, CICP reported 14,755 claims ever filed, 152 found eligible and 92 compensated; HRSA's compensated-claims table totals $13,618,257.12 paid across those 92 CICP claims. Of the COVID-19 claims, 11,055 alleged vaccine injury or death; alleged claims are not causal findings, and HRSA states temporal association alone does not establish causation. For VICP, the Congressional Research Service reports more than $5.3 billion paid in compensation from program implementation through 2025-02-01, with 28,292 petitions filed, 24,602 adjudicated and 11,659 determined to merit compensation. HRSA's VICP data page was updated 2026-07-01 and notes that about 60% of compensation awards result from negotiated settlements in which HHS did not conclude that the vaccine caused the alleged injury. Adverse-event reports, alleged claims, compensated claims, pending claims, rejected claims, causal findings, litigation claims, and scheme applications must remain separate.", "sourceLabel": "HRSA CICP aggregate and compensated-claims data as of 2026-07-01 / HRSA VICP data updated 2026-07-01 / U.S. Congressional Research Service VICP cumulative baseline through 2025-02-01 / UK VDPS" }, { "key": "child-trafficking-missing", "title": "Children / Trafficking / Missing", "figure": "21.3M", "status": "NCMEC 2025 CyberTipline reports; reports are not unique victims", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. NCMEC's official 2025 CyberTipline report recorded 21.3 million reports of suspected child sexual exploitation containing 61.8 million files. NCMEC separately recorded 113,530 CyberTipline reports concerning possible child sex trafficking in 2025, a 323% increase from 2024 after reporting obligations expanded under the REPORT Act. These are report volumes, not counts of unique victims, offenders, trafficking victims, or missing children. Missing-child cases, online exploitation reports, trafficking indicators, suspected reports, and resolved cases must not be merged.", "sourceLabel": "NCMEC CyberTipline Report 2025 / NCMEC 2025 impact data / ICMEC / UNODC / Europol / Interpol" }, { "key": "missing-children-supported", "title": "Missing Children Cases Supported", "figure": "32,167", "status": "NCMEC support-case baseline retained", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. NCMEC's 2025 impact data still reports 32,167 missing-child cases assisted, with 90% of those children recovered. This is a support-case figure, not total missing children worldwide, trafficking victims, or CyberTipline volume. Keep family abduction, endangered runaway, lost/injured/missing, non-family abduction, recovery, and case-support categories separate.", "sourceLabel": "NCMEC 2025 impact data" }, { "key": "online-enticement", "title": "Online Enticement / Sextortion Reports", "figure": "1.4M", "status": "NCMEC 2025 online-enticement report lane; suspected reports, not proven cases", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. NCMEC's official 2025 CyberTipline report recorded 1.4 million reports concerning online enticement, including more than 80,000 reports concerning sextortion and more than 800 reports in which an alleged offender travelled to meet a child. NCMEC separately reported on 2026-06-25 that more than 50,000 of the 2025 reports concerned financially motivated sextortion, averaging 137 reports per day; this is a subset of the broader sextortion-report lane. Treat all of these as suspected-report volumes, not proven offender or unique-victim counts. Keep online enticement, financial sextortion, AI-linked reports, platform-reporting changes, and law-enforcement outcomes separate.", "sourceLabel": "NCMEC CyberTipline Report 2025 / NCMEC financial-sextortion update 2026-06-25 / FBI / NCA" }, { "key": "medical-collapse", "title": "Medical / System Failure", "figure": "335 / 3.35M", "status": "Sudan facilities/services at risk and potentially affected population; other theaters separate", "description": "Checked 2026-08-17. No single honest global medical-collapse counter exists. The WHO-led Sudan Health Cluster warned on 2026-06-17 that a funding disruption placed 335 health facilities and services across 13 states at risk, potentially affecting about 3.35 million people and 1,848 health workers. WHO separately reported on 2026-04-14 that 37% of health facilities across Sudan's 18 states were non-functional, 21 million people lacked health services, and WHO had verified 217 attacks on health care since 2023-04-15, causing 2,052 deaths and 810 injuries. In Gaza, OCHA reported on 2026-07-16 that only 44% of health service points mapped before October 2023 were functioning. These are theater-specific service-capacity and verified-attack indicators, not a global death total. Keep hospital attacks, facility functionality, medicine shortages, blocked aid, disease outbreaks, healthcare-worker deaths, excess mortality, patient backlogs, and service collapse separate.", "sourceLabel": "WHO Sudan Health Cluster 2026-06-17 / WHO Sudan update 2026-04-14 / OCHA OPT situation report 2026-07-16 / WHO HeRAMS" } ] }